Pubdate: Fri, 26 Jan 2001 Source: Financial Times (UK) Copyright: The Financial Times Limited 2001 Contact: 1 Southwark Bridge, London, SE1 9HL, UK Fax: +44 171 873 3922 Website: http://www.ft.com/ Author: James Wilson COLOMBIA STRUGGLES TO BREAK REBEL'S GRIP President Andres Pastrana of Colombia has cancelled his plan to hobnob with the elite at the Davos world economic forum this weekend. His attention is consumed at home by - to put it bluntly - the life's work of an ageing guerrilla leader. Mr Pastrana is just the latest leader of his country to find out that getting rid of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (Farc) is no easy task. As the Farc likes to tell its story, it was nearly 37 years ago that Manuel Marulanda Velez led a few dozen other disgruntled campesinos in demanding roads and schools for their region and was met with a military blitz by the government. In fact the Farc's origins go back even further, to peasant self-defence groups arising from Colombia's wave of political violence in the 1940s and 1950s. But it has survived to become the western hemisphere's largest and most powerful guerrilla army, helping to make Colombia potentially the biggest regional headache for the new US administration. Mr Marulanda, their 70-year-old leader, born Pedro Antonio Marin and nicknamed Tirofijo (Sureshot), has outlasted nine Colombian presidents, including Mr Pastrana's father. Few among Colombia's notoriously oligarchical and exclusive political class seem to have had much idea about how to deal - either at the peace table or on the battlefield - with Mr Marulanda and his forces, drawn overwhelmingly from the country's rural poor and shaped by former Colombian Communist party ideologues. The approach has been an unsuccessful mix of carrot, stick and just hoping the Farc will wither away. Yet so far the group has proved remarkably impervious to all the above, while remaining a mystery to many. With minimal popular backing but considerable powers of persuasion, their the group's Marxist-Leninist ideology has survived the fall of the Berlin Wall. It is seen as being out of touch, but corresponds by e-mail from its rural hideouts and a website brings its views to the world. The organisation comprises more than 60 autonomous regional fronts but its seven-man ruling secretariat keeps a tight rein. Daniel Garcia-Pena, a former government peace envoy, says the Farc is complex internally, with debate among those favouring peace and those holding a harder military line, but is careful not to show divisions. Indeed, the organisation usually seems more politically astute than the government. It calls for legalisation of drugs and rejects narco-trafficking but makes millions from taxes on the illegal trade and, according to its opponents, even trafficks itself. In a post cold-war world it sees its struggle vindicated in protests against globalisation, the Bretton Woods institutions and the World Trade Organisation. "We are not something exotic in the world," says Simon Trinidad, a Farc commander and a former bank manager. Most contentiously, its human rights record is appalling. The Farc kills and kidnaps hundreds of civilians each year, justifying these tactics as either unfortunate mistakes or necessary tools in a war on Colombia's democratic government. Mr Pastrana has arguably been the Farc's most patient interlocutor among Colombia's leaders. However, his peace efforts are drawing closer to seeming failure. The Farc is reluctant to re-enter stalled talks and he must decide whether to continue to allow the rebels to control a large demilitarised area beyond January 31. There are few signs that the guerrillas, estimated to number some 15,000-17,000 men and women, are prepared to reciprocate with concessions to achieve peace. Alfredo Rangel, a political analyst in Bogota, the Colombian capital, says: "I think they are looking to get an army of around 35,000 and increase their military capacity so they can fight an open war with the state in a relatively short term - around five years. And their plan to get closer to the cities is going towards this." It was money from the drug business that helped the group expand, - although Malcolm Deas, a fellow of St Antony's College, Oxford, says it also became a competent military organisation. "They have devised means of military expansion that do not depend on hearts and minds or public support. They have become very efficient at taxing and multiplying their number of fronts," Mr Deas says. Many in Colombia and in the US - which is backing anti-drugs efforts with a Dollars 1.3bn plan - believe the Farc are little more than narco-terrorists. Mr Rangel counters: "Anyone who thinks that, because they use criminal means to get economic resources, they have lost their ideology is making a big mistake." Yet Mr Deas says the Farc's agenda is not clear. "No one pays any attention to the programme: it is not what the struggle is about. It is about power and recognition - and this is what makes it so difficult to solve." An international official says the Farc seems to have a different concept of time and a different historical memory. Some of its leaders have virtually grown up in the movement; Mr Marulanda still rails against the government for stealing his chickens 40 years ago. A strong sense of class warfare pervades the organisation. Their peasant origins and historic interest in land reform also differ from some of the more intellectual, middle-class concerns of other guerrilla groups. A former leader of another such group says: "We had more interest in politics, that there should be democracy. They have little interest in opinion. They use force more than persuasion." - --- MAP posted-by: Beth