Pubdate: Wed, 18 Apr 2001 Source: Morning Call (PA) Copyright: 2001 The Morning Call Inc. Contact: http://www.mcall.com/ Details: http://www.mapinc.org/media/275 Author: John Peeler Note: John Peeler is the head of the political science department and teaches Latin American politics at Bucknell University in Lewisburg, Pa. He has been studying Colombia since the 1970s. U.S. ALREADY IS ON A SLIPPERY SLOPE IN FIGHTING DRUG WAR IN COLOMBIA LEWISBURG -- Former Drug Czar Gen. Barry McCaffrey says Colombia is dying and we must not stand idly by. Colombian guerrillas have fired on a "State Department helicopter" carrying "civilian contract employees" seeking to rescue wounded crew members from a Colombian helicopter gunship shot down while providing air cover for crop dusters over coca fields. The myth that we are not militarily involved in Colombia is fast eroding, and the slope is getting slippery. The decision to provide military aid to Colombia for the war on drugs cannot possibly succeed and is very likely to escalate into a more direct and much more costly U.S. involvement. Violence has deep roots in Colombia. A civil war that started in the late 1940s as a battle between partisans of the traditional Liberal and Conservative Parties, evolved in the 1960s in two directions. First, local bosses throughout the country (Conservative and Liberal) used violence to consolidate themselves in power, creating a local politics af gangs, and a national politics of gang alliances. Second, violence evolved into several guerrilla insurgencies, almost all of which subscribed to some version of Marxism-Leninism, and all of which were inspired by the success of the Cuban Revolution. Two of those insurgent groups survive today: the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), and the Army of National Liberation (ELN). Underlying the violence is the deep poverty afflicting most Colombians, urban and rural, and a profound inequality that makes poverty all the more bitter. A poor Colombian in a violent society can best assure her or his security either by becoming a client of a political boss or by joining one of the guerrilla groups in hopes that it can bring about radical transformation of the society. Both choices perpetuate the violence. Violent crime has increasingly afflicted the cities, another manifestation of the profound insecurity of life for most Colombians. Armed robbery and assault are ever-present dangers. The murder rate is higher in Colombia than almost anywhere on earth. Poor young men make brief careers as sicarios, hired killers who, for a modest fee, will dart through traffic on a motorcycle and blow away a politician, a business partner, a spouse. Their careers are brief because they too will die violently, and they know it. Floating atop this morass is a small national political class that has managed, since the late 1950s, to maintain the form of electoral democracy. There are competitive elections every four years (and incumbents lose), there is freedom of speech and press (if you are willing to risk assassination for your opinions, as an astonishing number of Colombians are). The performance of democracy goes on in Bogotá, but it is less and less relevant to what is happening in the daily lives of Colombians. It was in this environment that the drug trade emerged as big business in the 1970s. Colombia had long produced marijuana for export to the United States. Coca leaves were produced for local consumption in Bolivia and Peru before the Spanish conquest, and cocaine had been known for a century. But it was Colombian gangsters who saw the possibilities posed by the exploding demand for cocaine in the United States, forming a succession of underworld organizations that controlled the entire process from production of the leaves to delivery of finished cocaine. The profits for the kingpins have of course been enormous, but it is also important to realize that the average Colombian can make much more moneyand have more security by joining the cocaine trade than by any legal endeavor. The drug cartels have fortified themselves in Colombia by cooperating with any sector that could hurt them: guerrillas, police, military officers, government officials, anticommunist death squads. Some people in all of these sectors appear to have been only too willing to accept profits from the drug trade in return for protection. Thus, although the drug trade is not the origin of Colombia's crisis, it is a cancer that has spread to all parts of the society. To expect the Colombian Army or the Colombian State to root it out is simply foolish. When they fail, as they will, the temptation for the United States to become ever more directly involved will be intense.Camouflaged military aid will not solve Colombia's many interlocking problems. A determined effort to broker a peace settlement might help. What would help the most has nothing to do with military aid: We should stop using cocaine. - --- MAP posted-by: Richard Lake