Pubdate: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 Source: Hartford Courant (CT) Copyright: 2003 The Hartford Courant Contact: http://www.ctnow.com/ Details: http://www.mapinc.org/media/183 Author: T. Christian Miller U.N. REPORTS COCA CROP SHRINKING Colombian Farmers Raising Less, Although Effect On Market Unclear EL TOPACIO, Colombia -- For the first time in at least a decade, the amount of coca grown in Colombia is falling sharply, largely the result of an aggressive, U.S.-backed aerial fumigation campaign. Repeated spraying by crop dusters plus government programs to encourage farmers to pull up coca plants have reduced Colombia's coca, the source of cocaine, by 38 percent to 252,000 acres in the past three years, according to a United Nations study released this year. What's more, coca cultivation appears not to have simply moved elsewhere from Colombia, for years the source of 90 percent of the cocaine on U.S. streets, as it has in the past. While Bolivia and Peru have reported slight increases, the rise has not been enough to offset the decline in Colombia. The U.N. study found that throughout South America, the number of acres devoted to coca dropped 22 percent in the past three years. Although the program has not yet affected the street price of cocaine in the United States and its final success remains unclear, fumigation is working, according to interviews and visits conducted during a weeklong trip in the region around this small coca-growing town. "The fumigation has blasted everything," said Javier Yepes, a 40-year-old coca farmer who was rushing to harvest his plants after spray planes wiped out his neighbors' farm in a village in southern Colombia. Colombian President Alvaro Uribe, elected last year on a promise to crack down on the drug business and the leftist guerrillas it helps fund, has pledged to continue fumigating until there are no coca bushes left in Colombia. Within a year, many U.S. and Colombian officials expect that Colombia will cease to be a major producer of cocaine. U.S. officials are also publicly acknowledging what had long been private: that the U.S. spraying operations has become a key weapon in Colombia's 40-year-old internal conflict, which pits the army and an illegal paramilitary force against leftist rebels. The paramilitaries and the rebels rely on the coca trade for financing. "We're seeing a little bit of the money dry up," said Gen. James T. Hill, in charge of U.S. military operations in Latin America, during a congressional hearing last week. "The eradication effort is beginning to make some inroads in their ability to fund themselves." But the success of the State Department's $1.3-billion Plan Colombia, which is intended to halve coca production here by 2005, has also ruined the lives of thousands of people in southern Colombia, where migrants and dirt-poor farmers seized on coca as a steady, if illegal, source of income. Local farmers are suddenly caught in the cross-fire of a vicious and unpredictable war between rebels and paramilitaries fighting over the remains of the cocaine trade. And tens of thousands have fled the region, a vast exodus of poor, uneducated people looking for money to feed themselves in an economy in which unemployment hovers at 15 percent. "Yes, the spraying has been a success," said Jose Efren Villota, 48, a coca farmer, as he surveyed the ruins of his once-profitable coca farm. "But it has come at a high cost." The idea behind Plan Colombia was simple: by cutting back on coca supply, State Department narcotics experts hoped to drive up street prices so high that addicts would cease using the drug and seek treatment. Instead, the price in the United States remains steady at anywhere between $20 and $200 per gram, depending on location and market conditions, according to recent congressional testimony from Drug Enforcement Administration officials. Critics of the plan say that cutting into cocaine production is simply forcing nimble drug traffickers to adjust. Users who cannot find cocaine are choosing other drugs, like ecstasy, to satisfy their tastes, reducing demand and thereby keeping the price stable. Coke dealers have switched to selling cheaper, easier-to-smuggle drugs, such as methamphetamine. "We have been forcing the drug economy to evolve," said Sanho Tree, a researcher at the left-leaning Institute for Policy Studies who has been sharply critical of the war on drugs. The effect of the program in Colombia - on farmers trying to make a living and on the country's internal conflict - are more clear-cut. Together, the guerrillas and paramilitaries are estimated to make between $150 and $300 million a year from the coca trade, U.S. officials estimate. Both groups acknowledge "taxing" coca production about $100 per kilogram, or about 10 percent of the price at the local level. Both also have been accused of processing and trafficking in the drug themselves. But they are now retreating in the face of a U.S.-backed offensive by the Colombian military, at least partly due to economic difficulties, according to military experts, State Department officials and interviews with paramilitaries. Guerrilla deserters have told military officials that they face shortages of ammunition and even food. Paramilitaries are now at war among themselves. Some are trying to remain in the coca business while others are trying to get out of it. "It's no mystery how we make our money: we charge a tax on the coca grown" here, said Alvaro, a paramilitary commander in El Tigre, a coca-growing town in the province of Putumayo, as his heavily armed men nervously patrolled a road near the site of a recent battle with guerrillas. "Of course [the spraying] has affected us." - --- MAP posted-by: Josh