Pubdate: Mon, 22 Mar 2010 Source: Hill Times, The (Ottawa, CN ON) Copyright: 2010 Hill Times Publishing Inc. Contact: http://www.thehilltimes.ca/ Details: http://www.mapinc.org/media/192 Author: Harris MacLeod Bookmark: http://www.mapinc.org/find?199 (Mandatory Minimum Sentencing) PRIME MINISTER'S TOUGH-ON-CRIME AGENDA ENERGIZES BASE, APPEALS TO SWING VOTERS Prime Minister Stephen Harper's government is expected to reintroduce a slate of justice bills, but experts predict the measures will only increase incarceration rates at great expense to taxpayers. As crime rates in Canada fall, Prime Minister Stephen Harper's government is expected to reintroduce a slate of justice bills to beef up sentences and enforcement, but justice experts predict the measures will only increase incarceration rates at great expense to taxpayers, and political observers say the Tories' stance will energize their base and appeal to law-abiding swing voters. In the last session of Parliament the government introduced 17 law-and-order bills, of which three were passed into law and the rest died on the Order Paper when Parliament was prorogued on Dec. 30. Last week Justice Minister Rob Nicholson (Niagara Falls, Ont.) announced the government would table a bill proposing changes to the Youth Sentencing Act, which among other things would give judges powers to consider non-criminal behaviour when sentencing youths, even though according to Statistics Canada youth crime is down 26 per cent from 2002-2003. The government also announced plans to make it harder to repatriate Canadian criminals in foreign jails, and reintroduced a bill to bolster the national sex-offender registry. A spokesperson for the minister, Pamela Stephens, said Mr. Nicholson would reintroduce Bill C-15, which would bring in mandatory minimum sentence for narcotics offences, in the Senate, and that discussions among the various House leaders about the possibility of reintroducing other justice bills are ongoing. Canada's overall crime rate declined by 15 per cent between 1998 and 2007, and the Crime Severity Index, which tracks the relative severity of a crime in comparison with other crimes, declined by 21 per cent. Experts appearing before both the House of Commons and Senate Justice committees testified that mandatory minimum sentences do not deter crime, and in the U.S. have led to skyrocketing incarceration rates. A 2001 report by the federal Justice Department reached the same conclusion. Yet the government is forging ahead with its "tough-on-crime" agenda. Doug Lewis, who served as justice minister, attorney general, and solicitor general under former Progressive Conservative prime minister Brian Mulroney, said the Harper government's approach appeals to people's common sense. "I think [the justice laws] have a broad measure of appeal to the voting public because the vast majority of the voting public keeps the law, and obeys the law, and does not get into trouble with the law and therefore the general attitude is, 'Well listen, if I'm obeying the law, and earning a living, and raising my kids as well as I can, why should these people who decide it's much easier to break the law and earn something that way get off scot-free?' It's a natural reaction," he said. Indeed, a recent study by Angus Reid Strategies revealed Canadians are taking a more punitive view of justice issues. The firm used a statistical technique called "cluster analysis" to identify four groups of people with similar attitudes to crime, ranging from the "Punitive" cluster group, who supports the death penalty even for things like kidnapping, to "Reformers" cluster group at the opposite end of the spectrum, who believes measures like mandatory minimum sentences could do more harm than good and feels more resources should be put into prevention and rehabilitation. In each group there was a significant portion of people who believed that crime in Canada has increased; a third of "Reformers" thought crime rates had gone up, and 68 per cent of so-called "punishers" believed crime rates were on the rise, with the other two groups falling somewhere in between. Only 11 per cent of the Punitive group thought crime had decreased, compared to a third of Reformers. Prime Minister Stephen Harper (Calgary Southwest, Alta.), in a 2008 speech, blasted research-based justice policies for trying to "pacify" Canadians, a view he reiterated in his first-ever YouTube interview last week. "I think the view of the population of Canada on this issue is actually pretty clear, that when serious crimes are committed, people expect the penalties to match these crimes," Mr. Harper said in response to an online question. "There are these arguments that told people somehow if you don't punish criminals, that crime will go away. I never quite understood the philosophy, but I think people understand that that approach has not been effective." Mario Canseco, vice-president of public affairs at Angus Reid, said the Harper government's justice agenda is a way to "re-energize" the Conservative base, nearly 90 per cent of who support the law-and-order agenda. He added it could also attract swing voters if crime stories are big in the news when the legislation is being tabled. Craig Jones, executive director of the John Howard Society of Canada, said the government's policies are meant to appeal to the "Tim Hortons crowd" and rely on people's ignorance about crime in Canada and the justice system. But he predicted the as-yet-unknown costs that will be incurred through increased enforcement and incarceration would "shock and awe" Canadians when the numbers are eventually released. The recently published 2010-2011 Treasury Board Estimates showed that Correctional Services Canada saw its total budget increase by $255.7-million, of which $87.2-million is for the implementation of the "Truth in Sentencing Act," a measure limiting the amount of credit prisoners can get for time served in prison before and during their trial, which became law in February. Parliamentary Budget Officer Kevin Page is compiling a report, requested by Liberal public safety critic Mark Holland (Ajax-Pickering, Ont.), on the projected costs of the government's changes to the justice system. In February Mr. Page told The Hill Times the report would likely be ready this month, but his office said last week it would be further delayed and couldn't say when it would be released. Mr. Jones said he's been in contact with the PBO about the report, and the reason for the delay is because Mr. Page is having difficulty getting the government to release the projected expenses of its justice bills, such as construction costs for prisons, and the expected growth of the incarcerated population. In 2007-08, the annual average cost of keeping one person incarcerated was $101,666 per year. "All of those numbers are still Cabinet confidence, and that's the government's prerogative, but if we continue down this track it seems to me the government is asking Canadians to write a blank cheque for a crime agenda in a context in which crime is already in decline," he said. But Mr. Lewis, the former Tory justice minister, said voters are more interested in seeing tough justice for criminals than studying expenditures for corrections services. "Any government could spend all their time providing information," he said. "But the vast majority of the public only has an interest when they decide to have an interest, and this demand for great chunks of information doesn't make things go round in their daily lives so I'm skeptical as to how much they want to know." Another former justice minister, Martin Cauchon, who served under former Liberal prime minister Jean Chretien and is planning to run in the next election, said the Conservative government's justice policies lack vision and only seek to increase penalties without addressing the roots of crime. When he was justice minister, from 2002 to 2003, he put forward legislation to decriminalize the possession of small amounts of marijuana, and also put in motion the process leading to the legalization of same-sex marriage, which was realized in 2005. The Harper government's Bill C-15, which the justice minister will reintroduce in the Senate, would change the law so that someone caught with as few as five marijuana plants would spend a minimum of six months in jail. Mr. Cauchon said the reason he sought to change the law around cannabis was to bring it into line with "the reality," and he still believes this is the right approach, noting his legislation contained strong measures to crack down on drug traffickers. In the last session of Parliament the Liberals teamed up with the Tories to pass Bill C-15, with some Grit MPs telling the media they did so out of fear of being labeled soft on crime. It's unclear whether they will continue to support the government's justice legislation when it's reintroduced, although in recent statements to the media the Liberals have blasted the Tories' approach as simplistic and shortsighted. Mr. Cauchon said it's often more difficult to explain good justice policy to voters, but said it's possible, it just takes some hard work. He pointed out that when he first started arguing in favour of same-sex marriage around the Cabinet table more than 60 per cent of Canadians were opposed. "When you have a vision and you believe in this as I did you roll up your sleeves, you travel, you communicate to people," he said. "You work with your caucus and at the end of the day you succeed. And look at same sex marriage that was enacted about five years ago and today we don't even talk about it. Canadians society is on side; they have accepted it and they know today it's exactly where we had to go as a society." - --- MAP posted-by: Jay Bergstrom