Pubdate: Thu, 08 Nov 2012 Source: Victoria Times-Colonist (CN BC) Copyright: 2012 Times Colonist Contact: http://www2.canada.com/victoriatimescolonist/letters.html Website: http://www.timescolonist.com/ Details: http://www.mapinc.org/media/481 Author: Tamsyn Burgmann U.S. VOTES CLOUD B.C. POT FUTURE The future appears hazy for B.C.'s thriving underground pot industry, even as two U.S. states - Washington and Colorado - have voted to allow citizens to legally use the drug recreationally. Business consequences could range from mild to sending marijuana producers' livelihoods up in smoke, depending on how much of the estimated $6 billion to $8 billion annual economy is currently being exported south of the border, analysts said. Opinion on the impact varies widely, but those advocating for Canada to adopt a more evidence-based policy on marijuana say Tuesday's votes mean Canada is falling behind the U.S. Indeed, on the same day as Washington and Colorado moved toward decriminalizing pot, the Harper government was bringing into force tough new mandatory penalties. Drug measures in the Conservative government's omnibus Safe Streets and Communities Act, passed last spring, came into full force and effect. Canada's new law provides a mandatory six-month jail term for growing as few as six marijuana plants, twice the mandatory minimum for luring a child to watch pornography or exposing oneself on a playground. "Today our message is clear that if you are in the business of producing, importing or exporting of drugs, you'll now face jail time," Justice Minister Rob Nicholson said in a statement Tuesday, before the U.S. polls closed. Washington and Colorado voters passed ballot initiatives that remove criminal penalties for the possession and sale of recreational marijuana. Should the U.S. federal government not challenge the initiatives, which directly opposes federal rules, the states will begin regulated sales of the drug. A similar initiative in Oregon failed to pass. "Obviously, we're not sending the army to the B.C.-Washington state border because of the vote," said Dr. Evan Wood, founder of an ongoing campaign for Canad-ina marijuana legalization that includes health, legal and justice professionals. Canadian opponents of legalization have often noted that decriminalizing pot would prompt a negative reaction south of the border that could make it harder for goods and people to cross back and forth, Wood said. "This vote is obviously going to take that tool away that I think has quite successfully quashed debate on this topic in Canada." The coalition, called Stop the Violence BC, contends prohibition of marijuana is a failed strategy that fuels bloody gang wars and facilitates the influx of guns and cocaine when it's traded into the U.S. via organized crime. The value of the export marijuana market cannot be easily quantified because it's based on smuggling. But experts who believe it's hefty argue the market for well-known "B.C. bud" will shrink simply because it won't be in such high-demand anymore in places like Washington, where users will be able to make legal purchases. "It may not wipe out the entire market but probably wipe out most of it," said University of B.C. economics Prof. Werner Antweiler, who says a substantial amount of B.C.'s marijuana - in the range of two-thirds - is pushed into the U.S. West Coast. - --- MAP posted-by: Jay Bergstrom