Pubdate: Pubdate: January/February 1999 Source: Extra! (US) Contact: http://www.fair.org/extra/index.html Author: Amy Poe CANCER PREVENTION OR DRUG PROMOTION? Journalists Mishandle The Tamoxifen Story Nature vs. nurture: The ancient argument has raged more furiously than ever over the last, DNA-obsessed decade. When it comes to cancer, however, scientists and journalists alike seem to have already decided that the fault lies not in our stars - or in the toxins clouding our night skies - but in ourselves. Case in point: coverage of the Food and Drug Administration's October approval of tamoxifen as a breast cancer "prevention" drug. Tamoxifen had been tested for an average of four years on some 13,000 American women over 35. They were healthy, but defined as at high risk for breast cancer. In the mainstream press, nary a voice was raised to challenge the experimenters' basic assumption that age, heredity and other unalterable facts are the only measurable cancer risk factors. Although the American Cancer Society has estimated that 75 percent of all cancers are of unknown origin - presumably related to some-thing in the patients' environment - this assumption has locked scientists into a "treatment mindset." Legitimate (read: well-funded) researchers, along with the reporters who regurgitate their studies, ignore environmentalists' efforts to stop cancer before it starts (Mother Jones, 5/94) - even when, as in the case of tamoxifen, the company offering to treat the disease may also be selling part of its chemical cause, potentially carcinogenic pesticides. The remaining 25 percent of breast cancers have been attributed to a combination of genetic make-up and lifestyle factors such as estrogenic drugs (birth control and hormone replacement pills). The solution, according to tamoxifen manufacturer Zeneca Group PLC and the National Cancer Institute (NCI), was another pill: the so-called "designer estrogen" tamoxifen, trade name Nolvadex. Most media couldn't have agreed more: "The news that a simple pill can prevent breast cancer . . . may be the most dramatic victory against cancer since America declared war on the disease a quarter-century ago, experts said," burbled the Detroit News (4/7/98). The $68 million, NCI-sponsored Breast Cancer Prevention Trial (BCPT) of Nolvadex had been halted, "so that all women in the trial . . . could be given the chance to use tamoxifen," explained the News reporters, adding helpfully that although the FDA had not yet approved tamoxifen for prophylactic use, "it's already on the market, [so] doctors immediately can prescribe it." Playing with numbers The News writers failed to mention until para-graph 12 that women on tamoxifen run a "slight" risk of fatal blood clots and uterine cancer. Other reports described the danger to women as "small" (New York Times, 4/8/98), or as no higher than that of hormone replacement therapy (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 9/1 5/98; U.S. News & World Report, 4/20/98). The "slight" health risks found in the BCPT included a 150 percent jump (300 percent in women over 50) in cases of uterine cancer, plus a threefold increase in pulmonary embolisms (blood clots in the lung), and a 60 percent rise in deep vein thrombosis (clots in major veins). Three women taking tamoxifrn died from pulmonary blood clots. A few journalists went for the silver lining, breezily assuring us (Detroit News, 4/7/98) that uterine cancer is "much easier to detect and treat" (after the minor inconvenience of a hysterectomy). Even reporters who detailed the dark side of Zeneca's wonder drug tended to juxtapose its dramatic 49 percent reduction in breast cancer rates with less impressive raw numbers, not percentages, when they got around to side effects (Denver Post, 4/6/98; Wall Street Journal, 10/30/98). As Montreal Gazette commentator Sharon Batt asked (4/21/98), if the trial results were reported accurately as reducing each participant's breast cancer risk in absolute terms by about 1 percent (from 2 percent to 1 percent), how many women would be lining up for a tamoxifen fix? And how many have already done so, due to reports that ignored the trial's failure to demonstrate any decrease in mortality or other long-term benefits? Almost without exception, reporters agreed that the BCPT proved the drug can reduce a woman 5 chances of getting cancer-period. Not so: Women taking tamoxifen had fewer breast cancers during the trial only. Other studies have shown mixed or negative results with more than five years of tamoxifen use. And the BCPT itself, according to testimony at FDA hearings, showed that participants who stopped taking tamoxifen developed breast cancer more frequently than trial participants on a placebo. Nor did most writers - including the author of a June 1998 column in Ebony magazine - notice that Arican-Americans and other minority groups were grossly underrepresented in the BCPT; 94 percent of the 13,388 participants were white. Only one newspaper story found in the Nexis database (LA. Times, 10/26/98) noted that trial scientists admitted their study "did not include enough nonwhite women to know whether the effect is similar for women of all races." In fact, according to researchers' testimony before the FDA, twice as many women of color developed breast cancer on tamoxifen as on a placebo. Creative truths There are lies, damn lies and medical study results. But how did health pundit Jane E. Brody come away with the impression that tamoxifen "offers women... reduced risk of cardiovascular disease" (New York Times, 9/8/98) - a hypothesis specifically refuted by the BCPT results Journal of the National Cancer Institute (9/16/98)? In the same column, Brody states boldly that raloxifene, the new kid on the designer estrogen block, "does not stimulate uterine cell growth." Brody apparently based her endorsement on a couple of brief osteoporosis studies; experts regard the results as promising but inconclusive. (Brody did not return a call for comment.) A more popular example of misinformation has been the claim that life-threatening tamoxifen side effects don't appear in women under 50, and "thus the benefits most clearly outweigh the risks for younger women," as the New York Times editorial board announced April 8. According to official BCPT results, however, increased risk of uterine cancer and blood clots merely occurred "predominantly" and "more frequently" in women over 49. This difference in interpretation could be critical for a healthy 35-year-old with future plans for her uterus. Oddly enough, one such offender was Prevention magazine (10/1/98), published by Rodale Press, a long-time advocate of organic agriculture. After interviewing five sources-four directly involved in the BCPT-the freelance writer chose to ask not, "Why are tax-payers funding a study to benefit Zeneca, manufacturer of suspected car-cinogenic pesticides like acetachlor?," but, "In the future, will every woman take an anti-breast-cancer pill along with their daily vitamin?" The company's iconoclastic founder, Robert Rodale, must be gyrating in his grave. (A promised return call from Prevention's research director never materialized.) Reporters need not shoulder all the blame; government and industry have been pushing their own creative variations of the truth. For instance, the Johns Hopkins-run web site on tamoxifen refers to uterine cancer as "a relatively small price to pay" for tamoxifen protection; an October 21 NCI news release states that "women under 50 appeared to suffer no adverse effects"; a camera ready" article distributed by a Manhattan PR firm under contract with Zeneca claims all cases of stroke, blood clots and uterine cancer were detected at a very early stage and were readily treatable." Unscientific methods Nothing, however, excuses our profession's collective amnesia. Moldering in newspaper morgues are accounts of the suspension of recruitment into the BCPT and the removal of its head, Dr. Bernard Fisher, due to proof of fraud at a major test center, failure to conduct onsite evaluations, and delays in reportng possible uterine cancer fatalities in a precursor to the BCPT. Until Congress intervened, many women signed trial consent forms that lacked an accurate risk assessment; the forms included a false statement that no uterine cancer deaths had occurred (San Francisco Chronicle, 3/16/94; Ladies' Home Journal, 2/95). After the brouhaha died down, the NCI and the rehabilitated Dr. Fisher needed a victory - or so an alert reporter might have inferred when the institute announced its triumphant early halt to the BCPT last April, saying that the benefits of tamoxifen were so clear that those on the placebo should have the opportunity to begin taking the drug. Who noticed that participants who had stopped taking tamoxifen had begun to develop more cases of breast cancer than the placebo group? Why did the NCT preclude long-term evaluation by encouraging the placebo group to join a new drug trial? Where were the skeptics? Not in the U.S. media, where headlines such as "Breast Cancer Trial Offers Hope to 20,000 Women" (USA Today, 10/22/98) greeted news of the NCI's plans for a new tamoxifen/raloxifene trial. But in Europe researchers cooperating with the institute were dismayed by the unilateral disarmament of the BCPT. A few U.S. articles mentioned that major tamoxifen trials in Britain and ltaly released results in July that showed no reduction in cancer risk (e.g., Wall Street Journal, 7/10/98). Unlike the NCI's results, the European researchers published the preliminary results of their studies in a peer-reviewed journal, The Lancet (7/11/98). The European studies should have been hot news - except that the NCI bandwagon had a head start. By October, the troublesome past had been largely forgotten (compare Time's somewhat critical review of tamoxifen April 20 and its November 9 "how to get it" advice). Susan Okie of the Washington Post (9/3/98) was among the few who got the real story: Bucking heavy pressure, the FDA refused to say tamoxifen prevents cancer. Zeneca can advertise its product only for the "short-term reduction of risk." (The decision will still allow Zeneca to pitch the drug directly to consumers; the company estimates its potential new U.S. market at 29 million women.) Okie caught a glimpse of the real "scientific method," a bare-knuckled brawl over millions in sales and grants. It's time journalists on the cancer beat followed her - and the money - behind the laboratory doors. As one investment analyst, commenting on breast cancer treatment drugs, told New York Times business writer David J. Morrow, "You could say that drugs for this category will always be a growth industry." - --- MAP posted-by: derek rea