Pubdate: Tue, 03 August 1999 Source: Toronto Star (Canada) Copyright: 1999, The Toronto Star Contact: http://www.thestar.com/ Author: Stephen Handelman DRUGS AND POLITICS ARE A LETHAL MIX IN COLOMBIA NEW YORK - Another Kosovo is getting ready to explode. Don't look for it on a map of the Balkans; this one is right on our doorstep. The anarchic narco-guerrilla war in Colombia is heading inexorably towards a conflict that could envelop the entire region. The first public sign of how deeply outside forces have become engaged in the long-running Colombian quagmire came last week when a plane crashed in a remote mountainside in southern Colombia. On board the plane were five American soldiers. They were ostensibly part of an American force helping the Colombian army monitor cocaine-growing plantations in the jungle. But since those plantations are to all intents and purposes controlled by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), the 20,000-member guerrilla army that has been battling the government for nearly four decades, the American reconaissance mission was also, in effect, a counter-insurgency operation. American and Colombian officials deny this heatedly. Only 200 U.S. troops are officially in the country, specifically to train local forces in drug interdiction. The proud Colombians say further U.S. military intervention is out of the question. "We are not willing to let anyone take our place in what we must do ourselves," said Gen. Fernando Tapias, commander of Colombia's armed forces. He was echoed by Gen. Barry McCaffrey, head of the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration: "There is zero possibility that any U.S. intervention will take place." McCaffrey made that comment, however, on a stopover in Colombia as part of a tour of the wider region that has fueled speculation of a multinational force to stamp out once and for all the multi-billion-dollar narcotics trade. The rule of the narco czars in Colombia is not a new story. Despite years of trying to crush their power, Colombia remains the world's largest exporter of illegal cocaine. What has turned this running wound in the heart of Latin America septic is the link between narcotics smugglers and political groups of the left and right. Both right-wing paramilitaries and left-wing guerrillas have profited - - sometimes as facilitators of the business to raise funds, sometimes as producers. In blurring the line between criminal and political activity (a trend at work in many other parts of the world), they have made much of Colombia ungovernable. And the cancer is spreading around the region. On his tour, McCaffrey pointedly stopped in Caracas to discuss U.S. anti-drug aid with a reluctant Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez. Venezuela has become a leading transit point for Latin American cocaine smugglers because of its refusal to allow U.S. interdiction planes to overfly its territory. In Colombia, McCaffrey watched the manoeuvres of a new 1,000-man special anti-drug battalion, a combined force of Colombian soldiers and policemen that is being trained by U.S. Special Forces troops. Americans were quick to note that this jungle force is learning human rights standards as well as combat skills. But can limited forces do the job? The U.S., which already sends some $280 million (U.S.) to Colombia, making it the third largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid after Israel and Egypt, clearly hopes so. However, the dynamic of internal civil disorder may pull Americans in even further, whether they like it or not. Over the next two years, military aid is expected to reach $500 million. The similarities with the Balkans are uncomfortably similar. There are no ethnic disputes here, but the forces of separatism, crime and anarchy are just as debilitating. FARC controls a huge section of Colombian territory. The current Colombian government negotiated the handover as part of what was supposed to be an ongoing peace process - which is now paralyzed. FARC's killing and kidnapping operations have taken them to the outskirts of Bogota, the capital. So the drug-induced Balkanization of Colombia - to give the phenomenon the eerily appropriate word - is continuing apace, spreading instability in the northern tier of Latin America at a time when the hemisphere is discussing the establishment of a free trade zone by 2005. Canada's interests here are much greater than ithey were in Kosovo: Ottawa is one of the leaders of the trade talks and will play host to the Organization of American States Assembly next June. But while every country in the region has a stake in wiping out narco-politics, there is no sign of an organized regional policy to determine whether the solutions should be political or military. In the absence of such a policy, the creeping military option seems inevitable. What began as a war on drugs may very well end as a war to keep the region "safe for democracy." Stephen Handelman's column appears every second Tuesday in The Star. - --- MAP posted-by: Jo-D